Thursday, July 17, 2008

17Jul08 - PreMarket (XLE)


Crude Oil tumbled ~$9 and $4 in 2 successive days, causing some panic selling in the process.

However, XLE actually gave some clues since late Jun08, when the prices started to breakdown from trendline channels.

In the recent 2 days, price has broken a multimonth support channel, and yesterday saw a larger volume price down action.

If I were to open a Bear position, it will be when price returns back to channel resistance. It may not be long for this to happen.

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